🥇
MAEGELLE
Gate 2
89.4%
1st
Antalya R1
STRONG Results in Edge: 9.8333
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 11 runners
🥈
SALONIKATOR
Gate 1
34.7%
—
🥉
BARAKHAN
Gate 10
0.1%
—
#4
BEAUTIFUL DUCK
Gate 11
0.1%
—
#5
BOSKO
Gate 9
0.1%
—
#6
KALORİMATİK
Gate 5
0.1%
—
#7
RIVABELLA
Gate 4
0.1%
—
#8
STEEL ROCK
Gate 3
0.1%
—
#9
SÜPER EFE
Gate 7
0.1%
—
#10
VEN CONMİGO
Gate 8
0.1%
—
#11
YOU AND ME
Gate 6
0.1%
—
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 11-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (9.8333) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 11-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (9.8333) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.