🥇
BOYABAT
Gate 12
99.9%
—
Antalya R2
STRONG Results in Edge: 13.0
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 13 runners
🥈
BERİVANCAN
Gate 4
0.1%
—
🥉
DELİBOZ
Gate 3
0.1%
—
#4
DÜMENCAN
Gate 8
0.1%
—
#5
EFSANEGÜL
Gate 9
0.1%
—
#6
FIRTINA AKSU
Gate 13
0.1%
—
#7
GÖNÜLGÜMBÜR
Gate 1
0.1%
—
#8
GÜNATA
Gate 7
0.1%
—
#9
KRAL ATLAS
Gate 6
0.1%
—
#10
MON NIA
Gate 10
0.1%
—
#11
MÜHÜR TAŞI
Gate 2
0.1%
—
#12
TESSERA
Gate 5
0.1%
—
#13
İNCİLİ TAY
Gate 11
0.1%
—
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 13-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (13.0) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 13-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (13.0) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.