Antalya R3
SKIP
Results in
Edge: 14.625
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 18 runners
🥇
ONURLU BERK
J: M.A.AKGÖBEK
T: S.YANIK
81.2%
—
🥈
ONURLU BERK
Gate 3
J: M.A.AKGÖBEK
T: S.YANIK
81.2%
—
🥉
ERİŞMİŞ
J: M.TEKPETEK
T: RAM. KAYA
22.1%
—
#4
ERİŞMİŞ
Gate 2
J: M.TEKPETEK
T: RAM. KAYA
22.1%
—
#5
BABA TUNA
J: V.ABİŞ
T: MEH.AKKUŞ
13.0%
—
#6
BABA TUNA
Gate 1
J: V.ABİŞ
T: MEH.AKKUŞ
13.0%
—
#7
ÇUBUKLU
J: C.TEPE
T: R.COŞKUN
12.9%
—
#8
ÇUBUKLU
Gate 5
J: C.TEPE
T: R.COŞKUN
12.9%
—
#9
AFŞARBEY
J: HAK.YILDIZ
T: SEV.BEKTAŞ
0.1%
—
#10
AFŞARBEY
Gate 4
J: HAK.YILDIZ
T: SEV.BEKTAŞ
0.1%
—
#11
DERMANCAN
J: C.ALTUN
T: K.KINAY
0.1%
—
#12
DERMANCAN
Gate 6
J: C.ALTUN
T: K.KINAY
0.1%
—
#13
GÜLLÜ KADİFE
J: S.TIRPAN
T: MEH.AKKUŞ
0.1%
—
#14
GÜLLÜ KADİFE
Gate 9
J: S.TIRPAN
T: MEH.AKKUŞ
0.1%
—
#15
HADEHANIM
J: MÜS.ÇELİK
T: Ş.AYDEMİR
0.1%
—
#16
HADEHANIM
Gate 7
J: MÜS.ÇELİK
T: Ş.AYDEMİR
0.1%
—
#17
ÇAL BABA
J: F.YÜCEL
T: E.Y.İYİDÖNER
0.1%
—
#18
ÇAL BABA
Gate 8
J: F.YÜCEL
T: E.Y.İYİDÖNER
0.1%
—
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions.
A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability.
Based on 18-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (14.625)
= top pick's win probability × field size.
A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection;
STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner.
The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.