🥇
SEYRET BENİ
13.0%
—
Antalya R5
SKIP Results in Edge: 1.1659
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 9 runners
🥈
GÖLGENİN GÜCÜ
12.9%
3rd
🥉
GÜNÖTESİ
10.6%
4th
#4
TİRİLYE KARTALI
3.2%
—
#5
YAŞARSERAP
3.2%
9th
#6
OĞUZHANTAY
1.6%
—
#7
BOĞAZ ÇOCUĞU
0.5%
1st
#8
GÖKTUĞUM
0.1%
—
#9
YEMEN RÜZGARI
0.1%
7th
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 9-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (1.1659) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 9-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (1.1659) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.