🥇
SNOW LEOPARD
99.9%
—
Antalya R7
STRONG Results in Edge: 6.0
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 6 runners
🥈
TIWAZ
18.2%
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🥉
BOLİDE
12.9%
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#4
NAZUŞUM
3.2%
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#5
NINE TREES
3.2%
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#6
TARCAN BABA
0.1%
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About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 6-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (6.0) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 6-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (6.0) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.