🥇
LAVİN FIRTINASI
40.0%
1st
Antalya R8
STRONG Results in Edge: 5.6
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 14 runners
🥈
UÇAN KAFKASLI
15.6%
7th
🥉
DİLHUN
12.9%
—
#4
NUMANIM
12.9%
—
#5
ZIPKIN OSMAN
7.7%
—
#6
AFŞINTAY
3.2%
—
#7
BELALI CİBEK
3.2%
—
#8
GÜZELNİSA
3.2%
—
#9
MİKSER
3.2%
6th
#10
SAFDERUN OĞLU
1.6%
—
#11
CEBEALP
0.1%
—
#12
RÜZGAR DELEN
0.1%
—
#13
SAPANCA AĞASI
0.1%
—
#14
SARI BULUT
0.1%
—
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 14-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (5.6) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 14-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (5.6) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.