🥇
VICTORY MARSEILLE
Gate 2
42.1%
—
İzmir R1
LEAN Results in Edge: 3.3684
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 8 runners
🥈
PELOŞ MY LOVE
Gate 1
10.6%
—
🥉
TOROS GÜZELİ
Gate 6
3.2%
—
#4
DOBRA KIZ
Gate 8
0.1%
—
#5
LAYETEZELZEL
Gate 5
0.1%
—
#6
RÜZGAR AKARCA
Gate 3
0.1%
—
#7
SÜSLÜCAN
Gate 4
0.1%
—
#8
YAĞMUR FIRTINASI
Gate 7
0.1%
—
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 8-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (3.3684) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 8-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (3.3684) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.