İzmir R2
STRONG
Results in
Edge: 8.0
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 8 runners
🥇
KUDRETLİ KAN
Gate 6
J: R.KETME
T: S.AKCI
99.9%
—
🥈
ADEN PRENSİ
Gate 2
J: M.KAYA
T: M.A.KAYA
0.1%
—
🥉
AMAN YÜREĞİM
J: E.D.ÖKTEN
T: S.AKCI
0.1%
—
#4
FIRAT EFE
Gate 3
J: A.İNCİ
T: S.C.GÖZÜNGÜ
0.1%
—
#5
HAYLAZKIZ
Gate 5
J: Ö.F.ÖZEN
T: A.ATAŞ
0.1%
—
#6
KAYA HÜSEYİN
Gate 7
J: M.F.KAYA
T: S.AKCI
0.1%
—
#7
TURBO BEYİ
Gate 1
J: T.YILDIZ
T: A.ATAŞ
0.1%
6th
#8
ÇÖL FATİHİ
Gate 4
J: S.AKŞIN
T: B.ÖZGÜR
0.1%
—
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions.
A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability.
Based on 8-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (8.0)
= top pick's win probability × field size.
A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection;
STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner.
The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.