🥇
UMUT TAY
Gate 1
81.2%
1st
İzmir R4
STRONG Results in Edge: 8.125
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 10 runners
🥈
ILDIRLI
Gate 7
60.0%
2nd
🥉
EDİZBARIŞ
Gate 4
42.1%
4th
#4
KAZANCI
Gate 2
34.7%
3rd
#5
RİGEL
Gate 9
22.1%
—
#6
ÇAĞDAŞ ALAÇAT
Gate 5
18.2%
8th
#7
ŞAH DRAGON
Gate 8
10.6%
10th
#8
BAŞPARMAK
Gate 3
0.1%
7th
#9
KÖYCÜ BEY
Gate 6
0.1%
9th
#10
SAĞLAMCAN
Gate 10
0.1%
6th
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 10-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (8.125) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 10-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (8.125) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.