🥇
EMİR İLYAS
Gate 1
99.9%
—
İzmir R5
STRONG Results in Edge: 10.0
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 10 runners
🥈
BER KEMAL
Gate 3
15.6%
—
🥉
BAD REFTAR
Gate 6
12.9%
—
#4
BOĞUŞLU
Gate 9
10.6%
—
#5
AYDINEFESİ
Gate 4
3.2%
6th
#6
BÜYÜK ALAÇAT
Gate 10
3.2%
—
#7
EFE METE BEY
Gate 5
3.2%
—
#8
NALDÖKENLİ
Gate 8
0.5%
5th
#9
HUMAY KIZIM
Gate 7
0.1%
4th
#10
ŞİFNE EFESİ
Gate 2
0.1%
8th
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 10-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (10.0) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 10-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (10.0) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.