🥇
AKSELBEYİM
Gate 5
99.9%
—
İzmir R8
STRONG Results in Edge: 8.0
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 8 runners
🥈
AYBUGA
Gate 4
0.1%
—
🥉
DATCA
Gate 3
0.1%
—
#4
DERBAS
Gate 7
0.1%
—
#5
FRENKTAY
Gate 2
0.1%
—
#6
GÜNER BAŞKAN
Gate 1
0.1%
—
#7
HIZLI GÜMÜŞ
Gate 6
0.1%
—
#8
KRAL HÜSEYİN
Gate 8
0.1%
—
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 8-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (8.0) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 8-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (8.0) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.