🥇
BATTLECAT
Gate 7
40.0%
—
İzmir R9
STRONG Results in Edge: 4.4
📅 2026-03-05
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 11 runners
🥈
MERCİA
Gate 1
15.6%
—
🥉
RAMONA
Gate 2
0.5%
—
#4
ALWAYS SPARKLE
Gate 11
0.1%
—
#5
BIG HONEY
Gate 3
0.1%
—
#6
CAPTAIN BOSS
Gate 10
0.1%
—
#7
CAPTAIN ROVER
Gate 9
0.1%
—
#8
DARK MONEY
Gate 4
0.1%
—
#9
IRON LION
Gate 5
0.1%
—
#10
LODATO
Gate 6
0.1%
—
#11
MEDGIDIA
Gate 8
0.1%
—
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 11-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (4.4) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 11-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (4.4) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.