🥇
MÜZEYYEN ABLA
15.6%
Bursa R2
SKIP Edge: 1.8667
📅 2026-03-06
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 12 runners
🥈
GÜNDÜZDÜŞÜ
12.9%
🥉
ERVANUR
3.2%
#4
IŞINBİKE
3.2%
#5
LUSİA
3.2%
#6
MEHİR ABLA
3.2%
#7
PRENSES DI
1.6%
#8
ÇAYCI KIZ
1.6%
#9
CANIM ÇITIR
0.5%
#10
DİLARASULTANIM
0.5%
#11
BELKIS ANA
0.1%
#12
ŞEHNAZ LONGA
0.1%
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 12-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (1.8667) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 12-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (1.8667) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.