🥇
SALAMCI HAYRETTİN
18.2%
Adana R1
LEAN Edge: 2.0
📅 2026-03-07
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 11 runners
🥈
LİDERKATI
12.9%
🥉
YEDİKARDEŞLER
3.2%
#4
ERSELAY
1.6%
#5
TABİP BEY
1.6%
#6
ASIL OĞUL
0.5%
#7
ZİDAN
0.5%
#8
GECE IŞIĞI
0.1%
#9
ODABAŞI
0.1%
#10
ÇAĞLAYAN
0.1%
#11
ÇELİK PARÇASI
0.1%
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 11-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (2.0) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 11-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (2.0) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.