🥇
ÖZER KAPTAN
22.1%
Adana R2
LEAN Edge: 2.4351
📅 2026-03-07
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 11 runners
🥈
TIĞLIBEY
4.8%
🥉
AYBERKHAN
0.1%
#4
FATİH ŞAH
0.1%
#5
KALEM KIRAN
0.1%
#6
KÖKBEYİ
0.1%
#7
SUSUZKURT
0.1%
#8
TAHİR VELİ
0.1%
#9
UMUTSER
0.1%
#10
YERALAN
0.1%
#11
ZAFER YAĞMURU
0.1%
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 11-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (2.4351) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 11-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (2.4351) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.