🥇
DARKROK
40.0%
Adana R3
LEAN Edge: 4.8
📅 2026-03-07
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 12 runners
🥈
ŞAMAR
34.7%
🥉
BIGBOYCAPRICE
18.2%
#4
AZP STAR
4.8%
#5
BROTHER LOVIE
0.5%
#6
IRONHOOF
0.5%
#7
LADY NİSANUR
0.5%
#8
BİZON
0.1%
#9
DESRUCTOR
0.1%
#10
INVESTIGATOR
0.1%
#11
SCHATZ
0.1%
#12
SHADOW SOLDIER
0.1%
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 12-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (4.8) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 12-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (4.8) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.