🥇
AL SEHER
38.1%
İstanbul R1
SKIP Edge: 4.9524
📅 2026-03-07
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 13 runners
🥈
KOŞAN NUR
38.1%
🥉
GÜL AYALI
32.3%
#4
ULU BEDEN
22.1%
#5
DİLBERAN
12.9%
#6
ALLER GÜLÜ
0.1%
#7
BERRENKIZ
0.1%
#8
BİRSENSİN SULTAN
0.1%
#9
CEMRE ATEŞİ
0.1%
#10
EL ÇİÇEĞİ
0.1%
#11
GÖZE ÇARPAN
0.1%
#12
KARBİR
0.1%
#13
SUBİKE
0.1%
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 13-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (4.9524) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 13-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (4.9524) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.