🥇
KING OF PROTI
22.1%
İstanbul R3
SKIP Edge: 3.0992
📅 2026-03-07
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 14 runners
🥈
FOMO
18.2%
🥉
MIDNIGHT BLUE
18.2%
#4
SILENT WIND
18.2%
#5
RACING STAR
15.4%
#6
GAME SAVER
12.9%
#7
HEAVEN TIME
12.9%
#8
BIG SOLDIER
0.1%
#9
GONE WITH STORM
0.1%
#10
HEAVEN LIGHT
0.1%
#11
RAIN BEAUTY
0.1%
#12
SAVER SWORD
0.1%
#13
SWEET LADY
0.1%
#14
THE CHOSEN
0.1%
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 14-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (3.0992) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 14-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (3.0992) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.