🥇
GRİNGO
81.2%
İstanbul R4
STRONG Edge: 11.375
📅 2026-03-07
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 14 runners
🥈
ÇUKUROVA EFESİ
34.7%
🥉
İLKUTHAN
12.9%
#4
ALKANDEMİR
10.6%
#5
ON GÖZLÜ
0.5%
#6
ALİ AL MAQAM
0.1%
#7
BURÇİGİN
0.1%
#8
BÜYÜKSULTAN
0.1%
#9
DAĞLARKAYA
0.1%
#10
DEMİR SULTAN
0.1%
#11
EFSUNHATUN
0.1%
#12
ERDEK
0.1%
#13
GÜRCEYHUN
0.1%
#14
PİYANGO
0.1%
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 14-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (11.375) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 14-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (11.375) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.