🥇
FLY FOREVER
52.6%
İstanbul R6
STRONG Edge: 6.8421
📅 2026-03-07
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 13 runners
🥈
KAVALA GÜCÜ
15.6%
🥉
MARISCAL
12.9%
#4
LITTLE JOE
6.7%
#5
SON OF THE KNIFE
0.5%
#6
ACAR TAY
0.1%
#7
ANGEL OF GOLD
0.1%
#8
EAGLE KHAN
0.1%
#9
HEXAGON
0.1%
#10
PARKER
0.1%
#11
RACING RAPTURE
0.1%
#12
STASERA
0.1%
#13
THE EAGLE
0.1%
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 13-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (6.8421) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 13-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (6.8421) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.