🥇
ALPHA JUNIOR
22.1%
İstanbul R7
SKIP Edge: 2.8779
📅 2026-03-07
🤖 XGBoost v1 · Mar 4, 2026
🏇 13 runners
🥈
KARA BİGA
22.1%
🥉
LEGACY OF HENRY
22.1%
#4
ROSARIO
13.0%
#5
İNŞİRAH
13.0%
#6
ASTRAEA
0.1%
#7
BEAUSOLEIL
0.1%
#8
FORCE MAJEURE
0.1%
#9
INVINCIBLE ARES
0.1%
#10
KAYLA MARLA
0.1%
#11
MR HERMES
0.1%
#12
WILDBERRY
0.1%
#13
ZYRA
0.1%
About these probabilities
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 13-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (2.8779) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.
Calibrated via isotonic regression on walk-forward validated out-of-sample predictions. A horse shown at 30% has historically won ~30% of the time when given similar probability. Based on 13-runner field analysis using 60+ features.
Edge Score (2.8779) = top pick's win probability × field size. A score of 1.0 means no advantage over random selection; STRONG (≥ 3.5) means the model's top pick is more than 3.5× more likely to win than a random runner. The confidence tier also requires a minimum probability gap between 1st and 2nd pick.